When will the National Secondary School be eliminated? Analysis of hot topics and policy trends in the past 10 days
Recently, the "phase-out of National II emission standard vehicles" has once again become a hot topic of discussion. Especially as environmental protection policies have been tightened in many places across the country, car owners and the industry have paid significantly more attention to the phase-out schedule. This article combines the hot data of the entire network in the past 10 days to sort out policy dynamics and implementation progress in various places, and present key information in a structured form.
1. Popularity data of the topic "National Secondary Elimination" in the past 10 days

| platform | Number of related topics (items) | Hot search highest ranking | core concerns |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12,800+ | Hot search No. 9 (August 5) | Beijing/Shanghai traffic restriction policy | |
| Douyin | 9,300+ | Car list TOP3 | Replacement subsidy amount |
| Baidu search | Average daily 1,200 times | Policy Q&A TOP1 | mandatory scrap time |
2. Current status of National II vehicle phase-out policy (as of August 2023)
| area | Current policy | Eliminate subsidy standards | Restricted range |
|---|---|---|---|
| Beijing | Driving within the Sixth Ring Road is prohibited | Up to 12,000 yuan | Citywide |
| Shanghai | Outer ring traffic restrictions | 8,000-10,000 yuan | All working days |
| Guangzhou | Encourage elimination | 3,000-6,000 yuan | Some main roads |
3. Policy trends and expert predictions
1.The latest statement from the Ministry of Ecology and Environment: The "Technical Policy for the Prevention and Control of Mobile Source Pollution" released on August 7 clearly stated that "accelerating the withdrawal of National III and below standard vehicles", but did not directly mention the timetable for National II vehicles.
2.Local implementation differences: Key regions such as the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and the Yangtze River Delta may implement mandatory phase-out ahead of schedule, while the central and western provinces are expected to be delayed by 1-2 years. For example:
3.Industry Impact Data: According to statistics from the China Automobile Dealers Association, the existing National II vehicles account for about 1.2% of the country's car ownership (approximately 3.4 million vehicles), mainly concentrated in vehicles registered between 2005 and 2008.
4. Suggestions for car owners
1.Check vehicle status in real time: Confirm the emission standards through the "Motor Vehicle Environmental Protection Network" or the APP of local vehicle management offices. Some early National III vehicles may be mistakenly marked as National II.
2.Pay attention to the subsidy window period: Subsidy policies in most regions will be implemented until the end of 2025, and cities such as Beijing have seen a trend of decreasing subsidy amounts year by year.
3.replacement strategy: National subsidies (up to 10,000 yuan) and local discounts can be added to the replacement of new energy vehicles. For traditional fuel vehicles, it is recommended to choose National VI b standard models.
5. Extended Hotspots: Controversies in the Elimination Process
High-frequency discussion points on social media in the past 10 days include:
Conclusion: Based on information from all parties, the complete phase-out of National II vehicles may be completed between 2025 and 2027, but the specific time will show significant regional differences. It is recommended that car owners continue to pay attention to the announcements of the local transportation department and reasonably plan the vehicle use cycle.
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